Persistence in seasonally forced epidemiological models
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Multiple stable recurrent outbreaks and predictability in seasonally forced nonlinear epidemic models.
A seasonally forced nonlinear SEIR epidemic model is used to simulate small and large amplitude periodic outbreaks. The model is shown to exhibit bistable behavior for a fixed set of parameters. Basins of attraction for each recurrent outbreak are computed, and it is shown that the basins of two coexisting stable outbreaks are intertwined in a complicated manner. The effect of such a basin stru...
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Infectious diseases affect millions of people every year. In fact, more than 17 million deaths worldwide each year are attributed to infectious diseases [6]. An endemic disease is a disease which persists over time in a given population or geographic region [4]. For example, prior to the development of the measles vaccine in the 1960’s and eradication of measles from the United States in 2000, ...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of Mathematical Biology
سال: 2011
ISSN: 0303-6812,1432-1416
DOI: 10.1007/s00285-011-0440-6